Solar energy prediction

I occasionally make predictions of future events which have large impacts. The accuracy of my predictions tends to be fairly high, though the timeline isn't always as accurate. In April 2001, I predicted near global conflict with GWB leading the way. At that time, with the economy flourishing, I also predicted a long term crash.

Right now I am making another prediction concerning solar energy.

In the next 2-3 or less, one large company will release to the public a system based on multple spray paints where an average person can make their own solar electric (PV) panels or even convert some existing structures to PV generating structures.

The materials will not be cheap at first and overall efficiency low. However, the cost will be much lower than current PV panels. This will prompt many people to make or install solar electric systems. The other elements of PV systems will remain expensive and may increase due to demand, including power regulators, inverters, batteries and installation.

The initial effect will be to put some current PV producers out of business, though commercially produced panels will remain much more efficient and last longer. In short time the remaining companies will adopt the same systems and offer affordable systems which are more stable and efficient than the home spray systems.

Some tragedies will occur due to improper installation of these systems, prompting tighter regulation of purchase and installation.

It will take time for the effect to be seen on oil consumption but it will happen. Though by that time no net decrease will be seen on gas prices. That will not happen until other forces come into play.